Primeira Liga
April 26, 2026
Benfica
16:00
VS
Moreirense
Predicted score
Benfica 4+
45% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 26 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Benfica
Rank#3
Played25
Points59
PPG2.36
Goal Diff37
D
W
W
W
W
Moreirense
7#Rank
25Played
35Points
1.4PPG
-4Goal Diff
D
D
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Benfica 4+
21.2%
2-0
15.5%
6.47
1-0
12.9%
7.78
3-0
12.4%
8.08
Both Teams To Score
YES
38% · 2.65
NO
62% · 1.61
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Benfica
67% · 1.49
Draw
29% · 3.46
Moreirense
4% · 25.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79
Under 44% · 2.26
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.74
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.02
Under 67% · 1.5
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Benfica
D
W
W
W
W
Moreirense
D
D
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Benfica
Stat
Moreirense
2.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.54
#3
League Pos.
#7
59 pts
Points
35 pts
2.36
Points / Game
1.4
+37
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
Benfica
Draw
Moreirense
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
H
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
A
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.