Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 8, 2026
Benfica

Benfica

21
FT
Alverca

Alverca

We predicted

1-0 32% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 8 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 32%
Team Context
Benfica
Rank#3
Played20
Points46
PPG2.3
Goal Diff31
D W W W D
Alverca
10#Rank
20Played
24Points
1.2PPG
-14Goal Diff
D L W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.4%
6.1
2-0
14.8%
6.74
Benfica 4+
10.8%
1-1
9.7%
10.27
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.67
NO 63% · 1.6
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Benfica 67% · 1.5
Draw 22% · 4.6
Alverca 12% · 8.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.33 Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.24
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.54 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Benfica Benfica
D W W W D
Alverca Alverca
D L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Benfica
Stat
Alverca
1.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.59
#3
League Pos.
#10
46 pts
Points
24 pts
2.3
Points / Game
1.2
+31
Goal Diff.
-14

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
0 W
Benfica
Draw
Alverca
6 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica H
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
6
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
28 10 5 13 -8 35
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca A
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record