Challenge League Challenge League March 13, 2026
Bellinzona

Bellinzona

03
FT
Étoile Carouge

Étoile Carouge

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Bellinzona
Rank#10
Played25
Points15
PPG0.6
Goal Diff-25
D L L L D
Étoile Carouge
9#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-14Goal Diff
L W D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.26
1-0
9.4%
10.65
2-1
8.8%
11.42
0-1
8.4%
11.96
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.81
NO 45% · 2.24
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Bellinzona 41% · 2.45
Draw 26% · 3.91
Étoile Carouge 34% · 2.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.94 Under 49% · 2.06
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32 Under 24% · 4.13
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.41 Under 71% · 1.41

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Bellinzona Bellinzona
D L L L D
Étoile Carouge Étoile Carouge
L W D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Bellinzona
Stat
Étoile Carouge
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.29
#10
League Pos.
#9
15 pts
Points
22 pts
0.6
Points / Game
0.88
-25
Goal Diff.
-14

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Vaduz FC Vaduz
26 18 5 3 +26 59
2
FC Aarau FC Aarau
26 19 2 5 +20 59
3
Yverdon Sport Yverdon Sport
26 14 5 7 +17 47
4
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
25 11 5 9 +10 38
5
Neuchatel Xamax FC Neuchatel Xamax FC
25 9 6 10 -1 33
6
Rapperswil Rapperswil
25 9 2 14 -10 29
7
FC WIL 1900 FC WIL 1900
26 6 9 11 -15 27
8
Étoile Carouge Étoile Carouge A
26 6 7 13 -11 25
9
Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais
25 4 11 10 -8 23
10
Bellinzona Bellinzona H
26 3 6 17 -28 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record