Bundesliga
March 21, 2026
Bayern München
4–0
FT
Union Berlin
We predicted
Bayern München 4+
68% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Bayern München 4+
|
Actual
4–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Bayern München 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
68%
Team Context
Bayern München
Rank#1
Played25
Points66
PPG2.64
Goal Diff68
W
W
W
W
W
Union Berlin
11#Rank
25Played
28Points
1.12PPG
-12Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
Bayern München 4+
51.1%
3-0
10.3%
9.68
3-1
7.8%
12.84
2-0
7.8%
12.9
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.93
NO
48% · 2.08
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Bayern München
74% · 1.36
Draw
24% · 4.13
Union Berlin
2% · 49.02
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2
Under 17% · 6.05
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 94% · 1.06
Under 6% · 17.95
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51
Under 34% · 2.95
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Bayern München
W
W
W
W
W
Union Berlin
L
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Bayern München
Stat
Union Berlin
4.0
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#1
League Pos.
#11
66 pts
Points
28 pts
2.64
Points / Game
1.12
+68
Goal Diff.
-12
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
Bayern München
Draw
Union Berlin
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
H
|
27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | +72 | 70 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | +30 | 61 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +20 | 53 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +15 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +16 | 46 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 |
Union Berlin
A
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 31 |
| 10 |
FC Augsburg
|
27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 |
Hamburger SV
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -34 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.