Bundesliga Bundesliga February 28, 2026
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

11
FT
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

We predicted

Bayer Leverkusen 4+ 33% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Bayer Leverkusen 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 33%
Team Context
Bayer Leverkusen
Rank#6
Played22
Points39
PPG1.77
Goal Diff15
L W D W W
FSV Mainz 05
13#Rank
23Played
22Points
0.96PPG
-12Goal Diff
D L W W W
Most Likely Scores
Bayer Leverkusen 4+
16.5%
2-1
9.9%
10.11
1-1
9.1%
10.95
2-0
8.8%
11.36
Both Teams To Score
YES 60% · 1.67
NO 40% · 2.48
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Bayer Leverkusen 61% · 1.64
Draw 20% · 4.95
FSV Mainz 05 19% · 5.27
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.57 Under 36% · 2.75
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19 Under 16% · 6.22
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.42 Under 59% · 1.71

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
L W D W W
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
D L W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Bayer Leverkusen
Stat
FSV Mainz 05
2.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.12
#6
League Pos.
#13
39 pts
Points
22 pts
1.77
Points / Game
0.96
+15
Goal Diff.
-12

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
27 22 4 1 +72 70
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
27 18 7 2 +30 61
3
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
27 16 5 6 +20 53
4
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
27 15 5 7 +18 50
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
27 15 5 7 +15 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen H
27 13 7 7 +16 46
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
27 10 7 10 -5 37
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
27 9 4 14 -17 31
11
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 A
27 7 9 11 -9 30
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
27 7 9 11 -9 30
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
27 7 8 12 -13 29
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
27 7 7 13 -17 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
27 5 6 16 -22 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
27 3 6 18 -34 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record