Bundesliga
February 14, 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
4–0
FT
FC St. Pauli
We predicted
Bayer Leverkusen 4+
30% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Bayer Leverkusen 4+
|
Actual
4–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Bayer Leverkusen 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
30%
Team Context
Bayer Leverkusen
Rank#6
Played20
Points36
PPG1.8
Goal Diff12
D
W
W
L
L
FC St. Pauli
17#Rank
21Played
17Points
0.81PPG
-15Goal Diff
W
L
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Bayer Leverkusen 4+
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
8.61
2-0
11.3%
8.84
1-1
10.2%
9.83
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.0
NO
50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bayer Leverkusen
62% · 1.6
Draw
21% · 4.68
FC St. Pauli
16% · 6.14
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.87
Under 47% · 2.15
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.38
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.22
Under 69% · 1.45
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen
D
W
W
L
L
FC St. Pauli
W
L
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Bayer Leverkusen
Stat
FC St. Pauli
1.95
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#6
League Pos.
#17
36 pts
Points
17 pts
1.8
Points / Game
0.81
+12
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
1 D
0 W
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
FC St. Pauli
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | +72 | 70 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | +30 | 61 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +20 | 53 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +15 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
H
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +16 | 46 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 |
Union Berlin
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 31 |
| 10 |
FC Augsburg
|
27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 |
Hamburger SV
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
A
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -34 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.