Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 March 27, 2026
Barakaldo

Barakaldo

21
FT
Real Madrid II

Real Madrid II

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 27 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Barakaldo
Rank#3
Played29
Points44
PPG1.52
Goal Diff9
D W W L W
Real Madrid II
8#Rank
29Played
43Points
1.48PPG
2Goal Diff
D W D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.35
1-0
11.9%
8.43
2-1
9.5%
10.55
2-0
9.4%
10.65
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.98
NO 49% · 2.02
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Barakaldo 44% · 2.25
Draw 29% · 3.44
Real Madrid II 26% · 3.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09 Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.72
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.82 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Barakaldo Barakaldo
D W W L W
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
D W D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Barakaldo
Stat
Real Madrid II
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.01
#3
League Pos.
#8
44 pts
Points
43 pts
1.52
Points / Game
1.48
+9
Goal Diff.
+2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
0 W
Barakaldo
Draw
Real Madrid II
3 total goals
1 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
31 19 8 4 +33 65
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
31 15 9 7 +5 54
3
Ponferradina Ponferradina
31 13 8 10 +10 47
4
Barakaldo Barakaldo H
31 12 11 8 +8 47
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
30 11 13 6 +13 46
6
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II A
31 13 7 11 +5 46
7
Zamora Zamora
31 12 10 9 +5 46
8
Lugo Lugo
31 11 12 8 +0 45
9
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
31 12 8 11 +2 44
10
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
31 12 8 11 -2 44
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD
31 12 8 11 -3 44
12
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
30 12 5 13 -5 41
14
Real Avilés Real Avilés
31 10 7 14 -8 37
15
CF Talavera CF Talavera
31 9 8 14 -8 35
16
Guadalajara Guadalajara
31 9 8 14 -11 35
17
Ourense CF Ourense CF
31 8 10 13 -3 34
18
Cacereño Cacereño
31 6 13 12 -12 31
19
Osasuna II Osasuna II
31 7 9 15 -14 30
20
Arenteiro Arenteiro
31 6 8 17 -14 26

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record