Birinci Dasta Birinci Dasta March 18, 2026
Baku Sportinq

Baku Sportinq

11
FT
Mingəçevir

Mingəçevir

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 18 2026

Correct prediction!

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–1

Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Baku Sportinq
Rank#2
Played18
Points36
PPG2.0
Goal Diff13
W L D W W
Mingəçevir
4#Rank
18Played
32Points
1.78PPG
13Goal Diff
L W W D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.87
1-0
10.7%
9.39
0-1
9.5%
10.57
2-1
8.5%
11.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.94
NO 49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Baku Sportinq 28% · 3.56
Draw 34% · 2.94
Mingəçevir 38% · 2.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.15 Under 54% · 1.87
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.57
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.01 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Baku Sportinq Baku Sportinq
W L D W W
Mingəçevir Mingəçevir
L W W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Baku Sportinq
Stat
Mingəçevir
1.34
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#2
League Pos.
#4
36 pts
Points
32 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.78
+13
Goal Diff.
+13

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Safa Baku Safa Baku
19 13 6 0 +30 45
2
Baku Sportinq Baku Sportinq H
19 10 7 2 +13 37
3
Səbail Səbail
19 9 7 3 +11 34
4
Mingəçevir Mingəçevir A
19 9 6 4 +13 33
5
Şahdağ Şahdağ
19 7 4 8 +1 25
6
MOIK MOIK
19 6 5 8 -5 23
7
Zaqatala Zaqatala
19 6 4 9 -4 22
8
Cəbrayıl Cəbrayıl
19 5 2 12 -8 17
9
Difai Ağsu Difai Ağsu
19 3 4 12 -20 13
10
Şimal Şimal
19 3 3 13 -31 12

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record