Serie A Serie A March 11, 2026
Bahia

Bahia

11
FT
Vitoria

Vitoria

We predicted

Bahia 4+ 43% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Bahia 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Bahia
Rank#7
Played38
Points60
PPG1.58
Goal Diff4
L W D W L
Vitoria
15#Rank
38Played
45Points
1.18PPG
-17Goal Diff
W L W W D
Most Likely Scores
Bahia 4+
17.8%
2-0
15.9%
6.29
1-0
14.3%
6.99
3-0
11.8%
8.5
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.73
NO 63% · 1.58
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bahia 64% · 1.57
Draw 28% · 3.58
Vitoria 8% · 11.86
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.94 Under 49% · 2.06
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32 Under 24% · 4.14
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.43 Under 71% · 1.41

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Bahia Bahia
L W D W L
Vitoria Vitoria
W L W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Bahia
Stat
Vitoria
2.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.53
#7
League Pos.
#15
60 pts
Points
45 pts
1.58
Points / Game
1.18
+4
Goal Diff.
-17

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Bahia
Draw
Vitoria
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
8 5 1 2 +5 16
3
Fluminense Fluminense
8 5 1 2 +4 16
4
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
5
Bahia Bahia H
7 4 2 1 +2 14
6
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
7 4 1 2 +3 13
7
Coritiba Coritiba
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria A
7 3 1 3 -2 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Internacional Internacional
8 2 2 4 -2 8
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
8 2 2 4 -3 8
14
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
15
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
7 1 4 2 -2 7
16
Santos Santos
8 1 4 3 -3 7
17
Botafogo Botafogo
6 2 0 4 -2 6
18
Mirassol Mirassol
7 1 3 3 -2 6
19
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6
20
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record