Serie A
April 5, 2026
Bahia
22:30
VS
Palmeiras
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Bahia
Rank#7
Played38
Points60
PPG1.58
Goal Diff4
L
W
D
W
L
Palmeiras
2#Rank
38Played
76Points
2.0PPG
33Goal Diff
W
W
L
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.9%
7.2
1-1
11.9%
8.38
2-0
10.9%
9.21
2-1
9.3%
10.73
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.2
NO
54% · 1.84
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bahia
36% · 2.75
Draw
33% · 3.0
Palmeiras
30% · 3.29
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.3
Under 56% · 1.77
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44
Under 30% · 3.29
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.45
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Bahia
L
W
D
W
L
Palmeiras
W
W
L
D
D
Key Stats Comparison
Bahia
Stat
Palmeiras
1.56
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#7
League Pos.
#2
60 pts
Points
76 pts
1.58
Points / Game
2.0
+4
Goal Diff.
+33
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Bahia
Draw
Palmeiras
8
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
A
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Fluminense
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |
Bahia
H
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |
Sao Paulo
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 11 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 |
Botafogo
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Cruzeiro
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.