Serie A Serie A May 17, 2026
Bahia

Bahia

20:00
VS
Gremio

Gremio

Predicted score

Bahia 4+ 47% confidence
View full match details Sunday, May 17 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 47%
Team Context
Bahia
Rank#7
Played38
Points60
PPG1.58
Goal Diff4
L W D W L
Gremio
9#Rank
38Played
49Points
1.29PPG
-3Goal Diff
W L W L W
Most Likely Scores
Bahia 4+
25.4%
2-0
13.4%
7.49
3-0
11.7%
8.57
1-0
10.2%
9.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.27
NO 56% · 1.78
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bahia 66% · 1.53
Draw 26% · 3.8
Gremio 8% · 12.21
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6 Under 37% · 2.68
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 6.02
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.49 Under 60% · 1.67

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Bahia Bahia
L W D W L
Gremio Gremio
W L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Bahia
Stat
Gremio
2.62
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.64
#7
League Pos.
#9
60 pts
Points
49 pts
1.58
Points / Game
1.29
+4
Goal Diff.
-3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
2 D
2 W
Bahia
Draw
Gremio
11 total goals
5 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record