Iraqi League
March 12, 2026
Baghdad
0–1
LIVE
Newroz
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, March 12 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Baghdad
Rank#18
Played20
Points19
PPG0.95
Goal Diff-13
L
L
L
D
D
Newroz
12#Rank
21Played
25Points
1.19PPG
-5Goal Diff
L
W
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.14
0-1
9.4%
10.64
1-0
8.9%
11.26
1-2
8.5%
11.78
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.83
NO
45% · 2.2
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Baghdad
25% · 3.97
Draw
34% · 2.98
Newroz
41% · 2.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99
Under 50% · 2.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 3.99
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.53
Under 72% · 1.39
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Baghdad
L
L
L
D
D
Newroz
L
W
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Baghdad
Stat
Newroz
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.38
#18
League Pos.
#12
19 pts
Points
25 pts
0.95
Points / Game
1.19
-13
Goal Diff.
-5
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
0 W
Baghdad
Draw
Newroz
1
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +18 | 49 |
| 2 |
Al Shorta
|
20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | +21 | 44 |
| 3 |
Erbil
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | +12 | 41 |
| 4 |
Al Talaba
|
21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | +12 | 40 |
| 5 |
Al-Karma
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +13 | 38 |
| 6 |
Al Karkh
|
21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | +10 | 37 |
| 7 |
Zakho
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +13 | 36 |
| 8 |
Al Zawra'a
|
20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | +9 | 35 |
| 9 |
Duhok
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | +4 | 30 |
| 10 |
Gharraf
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +2 | 29 |
| 11 |
Diyala
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 28 |
| 12 |
Newroz
A
|
21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | -5 | 25 |
| 13 |
Naft
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | +0 | 24 |
| 14 |
Al Minaa Basra
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 24 |
| 15 |
Mosul
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 23 |
| 16 |
Al Kahrabaa
|
21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -7 | 21 |
| 17 |
Naft Maysan
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -13 | 19 |
| 18 |
Baghdad
H
|
20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -13 | 19 |
| 19 |
Al Najaf
|
21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | -25 | 8 |
| 20 |
Al-Qasim
|
21 | 0 | 2 | 19 | -43 | 2 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.