Iraqi League Iraqi League March 30, 2026
Baghdad

Baghdad

21
FT
Al-Karma

Al-Karma

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 30 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Baghdad
Rank#18
Played24
Points19
PPG0.79
Goal Diff-19
L L L L L
Al-Karma
6#Rank
24Played
43Points
1.79PPG
16Goal Diff
D D W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.5
0-1
11.7%
8.57
1-2
9.6%
10.42
0-2
9.5%
10.5
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.96
NO 49% · 2.04
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Baghdad 14% · 7.13
Draw 35% · 2.87
Al-Karma 51% · 1.96
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.04 Under 51% · 1.96
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.68 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Baghdad Baghdad
L L L L L
Al-Karma Al-Karma
D D W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Baghdad
Stat
Al-Karma
1.01
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.63
#18
League Pos.
#6
19 pts
Points
43 pts
0.79
Points / Game
1.79
-19
Goal Diff.
+16

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Baghdad
Draw
Al-Karma
6 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
25 18 5 2 +22 59
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
26 17 5 4 +26 56
3
Erbil Erbil
25 15 7 3 +17 52
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
26 14 6 6 +13 48
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
26 12 11 3 +12 47
6
Zakho Zakho
26 13 7 6 +12 46
7
Al-Karma Al-Karma A
26 12 8 6 +15 44
8
Al Karkh Al Karkh
26 12 8 6 +10 44
9
Newroz Newroz
26 12 2 12 +1 38
10
Duhok Duhok
26 10 7 9 +3 37
11
Diyala Diyala
26 8 9 9 +4 33
12
Naft Naft
25 8 9 8 +3 33
13
Mosul Mosul
26 9 6 11 -7 33
14
Gharraf Gharraf
25 9 5 11 -2 32
15
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
25 6 8 11 -5 26
16
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
25 5 7 13 -15 22
17
Baghdad Baghdad H
26 6 4 16 -19 22
18
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
25 6 3 16 -11 21
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf
26 3 3 20 -28 12
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
25 0 2 23 -51 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record