Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 March 22, 2026
Badalona

Badalona

30
FT
Vilanova

Vilanova

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Badalona
Rank#2
Played25
Points49
PPG1.96
Goal Diff17
D W W W L
Vilanova
4#Rank
26Played
42Points
1.62PPG
10Goal Diff
W L W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.5%
6.07
0-0
13.4%
7.48
1-1
12.9%
7.78
0-1
10.4%
9.6
Both Teams To Score
YES 38% · 2.61
NO 62% · 1.62
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Badalona 42% · 2.37
Draw 32% · 3.15
Vilanova 26% · 3.83
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.06 Under 67% · 1.49
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.48
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 6.9 Under 86% · 1.17

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Badalona Badalona
D W W W L
Vilanova Vilanova
W L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Badalona
Stat
Vilanova
1.23
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#2
League Pos.
#4
49 pts
Points
42 pts
1.96
Points / Game
1.62
+17
Goal Diff.
+10

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manresa Manresa
27 15 8 4 +18 53
2
Badalona Badalona H
26 14 10 2 +20 52
3
Cornellà Cornellà
27 14 7 6 +14 49
4
Vilanova Vilanova A
27 11 9 7 +7 42
5
L'Hospitalet L'Hospitalet
27 12 5 10 +8 41
6
Peralada Peralada
27 9 11 7 +5 38
7
Tona Tona
27 9 11 7 +5 38
8
L'Escala L'Escala
26 10 8 8 +2 38
9
Montañesa Montañesa
27 10 8 9 +0 38
10
Grama Grama
27 8 11 8 +5 35
11
San Cristóbal San Cristóbal
27 7 10 10 -6 31
12
Mollerussa Mollerussa
27 7 9 11 -8 30
13
Europa II Europa II
27 7 9 11 -12 30
14
Cerdanyola del Vallès Cerdanyola del Vallès
27 5 13 9 -6 28
15
Can Vidalet Can Vidalet
27 7 7 13 -12 28
16
Vilassar Mar Vilassar Mar
27 6 9 12 -5 27
17
Vic Vic
27 5 9 13 -16 24
18
Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu
27 4 10 13 -19 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record