Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 15, 2026
Badajoz

Badajoz

54
FT
Jerez

Jerez

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 5–4

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Badajoz
Rank#4
Played25
Points44
PPG1.76
Goal Diff13
W L L W W
Jerez
8#Rank
25Played
36Points
1.44PPG
11Goal Diff
W L D D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.1%
8.27
1-1
12.0%
8.33
2-0
9.5%
10.49
2-1
9.5%
10.57
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.0
NO 50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Badajoz 35% · 2.9
Draw 33% · 3.02
Jerez 32% · 3.1
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.11 Under 53% · 1.9
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38 Under 27% · 3.66
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.9 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Badajoz Badajoz
W L L W W
Jerez Jerez
W L D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Badajoz
Stat
Jerez
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#4
League Pos.
#8
44 pts
Points
36 pts
1.76
Points / Game
1.44
+13
Goal Diff.
+11

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
26 16 6 4 +36 54
2
Moralo Moralo
26 14 8 4 +19 50
3
Badajoz Badajoz H
26 15 5 6 +14 47
4
Azuaga Azuaga
26 13 7 6 +13 46
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz
26 12 9 5 +18 45
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
26 10 12 4 +11 42
7
Villanovense Villanovense
26 10 8 8 +3 38
8
Jerez Jerez A
26 7 15 4 +10 36
9
Villafranca Villafranca
26 10 6 10 -1 36
10
Llerenense Llerenense
26 10 5 11 -2 35
11
Montijo Montijo
26 9 6 11 -1 33
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
26 9 6 12 -9 32
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
26 7 12 8 -7 32
14
Gévora Gévora
26 5 8 13 -18 23
15
Diocesano Diocesano
25 4 9 12 -19 21
16
Calamonte Calamonte
26 3 10 13 -13 19
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
26 4 7 15 -26 19
18
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
25 4 5 16 -28 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record