Eredivisie
May 3, 2026
AZ Alkmaar
14:45
VS
Twente
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
AZ Alkmaar
Rank#6
Played26
Points39
PPG1.5
Goal Diff1
L
L
W
W
D
Twente
4#Rank
26Played
44Points
1.69PPG
18Goal Diff
W
W
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.2%
8.22
0-1
9.0%
11.11
1-0
8.8%
11.34
1-2
8.4%
11.92
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.8
NO
45% · 2.24
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AZ Alkmaar
26% · 3.86
Draw
33% · 2.99
Twente
41% · 2.46
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.95
Under 49% · 2.05
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.11
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.43
Under 71% · 1.41
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
L
L
W
W
D
Twente
W
W
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
AZ Alkmaar
Stat
Twente
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.38
#6
League Pos.
#4
39 pts
Points
44 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.69
+1
Goal Diff.
+18
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
1 W
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Twente
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +22 | 50 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |
Twente
A
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
H
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +11 | 41 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
Telstar
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.