Eredivisie Eredivisie January 31, 2026
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

13
FT
NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

We predicted

AZ Alkmaar 4+ 25% confidence
View full match details Saturday, January 31 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted AZ Alkmaar 4+
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Most Likely Scores
AZ Alkmaar 4+
10.6%
1-1
9.7%
10.29
2-1
8.9%
11.22
1-2
7.5%
13.37
Both Teams To Score
YES 66% · 1.52
NO 34% · 2.93
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AZ Alkmaar 45% · 2.23
Draw 23% · 4.43
NEC Nijmegen 33% · 3.07
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53 Under 35% · 2.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.18 Under 15% · 6.64
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.31 Under 57% · 1.76

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

AZ Alkmaar
Stat
NEC Nijmegen
1.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.54

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
NEC Nijmegen
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
27 22 2 3 +43 68
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
27 16 4 7 +21 52
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen A
27 14 7 6 +22 49
4
Ajax Ajax
27 12 11 4 +18 47
5
Twente Twente
27 11 11 5 +16 44
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar H
27 12 6 9 +5 42
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
27 11 7 9 +3 40
8
Utrecht Utrecht
27 10 8 9 +9 38
9
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
27 11 5 11 -14 38
10
Groningen Groningen
27 10 5 12 +0 35
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
27 10 5 12 -8 35
12
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
27 7 11 9 +2 32
13
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
27 7 9 11 -16 30
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
27 7 6 14 -16 27
15
Excelsior Excelsior
27 7 5 15 -18 26
16
Telstar Telstar
27 5 9 13 -10 24
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
27 5 8 14 -20 23
18
Heracles Heracles
27 5 3 19 -37 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record