Eredivisie
May 17, 2026
AZ Alkmaar
12:30
VS
NAC Breda
Predicted score
1-0
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
AZ Alkmaar
Rank#6
Played26
Points39
PPG1.5
Goal Diff1
L
L
W
W
D
NAC Breda
17#Rank
26Played
23Points
0.88PPG
-14Goal Diff
D
L
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.1%
7.61
2-0
12.3%
8.14
AZ Alkmaar 4+
11.7%
1-1
10.4%
9.64
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.17
NO
54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
AZ Alkmaar
56% · 1.8
Draw
31% · 3.21
NAC Breda
13% · 7.6
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.02
Under 51% · 1.98
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.89
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.64
Under 73% · 1.38
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
L
L
W
W
D
NAC Breda
D
L
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
AZ Alkmaar
Stat
NAC Breda
1.87
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.79
#6
League Pos.
#17
39 pts
Points
23 pts
1.5
Points / Game
0.88
+1
Goal Diff.
-14
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
NAC Breda
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +22 | 50 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
H
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +11 | 41 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
Telstar
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
A
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.