Eredivisie
March 15, 2026
AZ Alkmaar
4–0
FT
Heracles
We predicted
AZ Alkmaar 4+
54% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
AZ Alkmaar 4+
|
Actual
4–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — AZ Alkmaar 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
54%
Team Context
AZ Alkmaar
Rank#6
Played26
Points39
PPG1.5
Goal Diff1
L
L
W
W
D
Heracles
18#Rank
26Played
18Points
0.69PPG
-33Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
AZ Alkmaar 4+
27.9%
2-0
10.6%
9.43
3-0
9.7%
10.28
2-1
9.0%
11.15
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.87
NO
47% · 2.14
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AZ Alkmaar
64% · 1.56
Draw
27% · 3.77
Heracles
9% · 10.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45
Under 31% · 3.22
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15
Under 13% · 7.76
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.12
Under 53% · 1.9
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
L
L
W
W
D
Heracles
D
L
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
AZ Alkmaar
Stat
Heracles
2.75
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#6
League Pos.
#18
39 pts
Points
18 pts
1.5
Points / Game
0.69
+1
Goal Diff.
-33
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Heracles
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +22 | 50 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
H
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +11 | 41 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
Telstar
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
A
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.