Eredivisie Eredivisie April 4, 2026
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

20
FT
Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard

We predicted

AZ Alkmaar 4+ 42% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted AZ Alkmaar 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
AZ Alkmaar
Rank#6
Played26
Points39
PPG1.5
Goal Diff1
L L W W D
Fortuna Sittard
11#Rank
26Played
32Points
1.23PPG
-9Goal Diff
L W W L D
Most Likely Scores
AZ Alkmaar 4+
18.0%
2-1
9.9%
10.1
2-0
9.8%
10.19
1-1
8.8%
11.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.76
NO 43% · 2.31
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AZ Alkmaar 57% · 1.75
Draw 30% · 3.39
Fortuna Sittard 14% · 7.4
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59 Under 37% · 2.69
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 6.04
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.47 Under 60% · 1.68

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
L L W W D
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
L W W L D

Key Stats Comparison

AZ Alkmaar
Stat
Fortuna Sittard
2.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.01
#6
League Pos.
#11
39 pts
Points
32 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.23
+1
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
29 16 6 7 +21 54
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar H
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
29 12 8 9 +6 44
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
29 12 6 11 -12 42
9
Utrecht Utrecht
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
29 8 11 10 +5 35
12
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard A
29 10 5 14 -11 35
13
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
29 8 9 12 -20 33
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
29 7 7 15 -18 28
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
29 5 9 15 -21 24
18
Heracles Heracles
29 5 4 20 -40 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record