Primeira Liga
April 11, 2026
AVS
14:30
VS
Guimaraes
Predicted score
0-1
39% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
AVS
Rank#18
Played25
Points10
PPG0.4
Goal Diff-39
D
D
L
W
L
Guimaraes
9#Rank
25Played
32Points
1.28PPG
-9Goal Diff
L
D
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.3%
7.0
1-1
12.2%
8.18
0-2
10.6%
9.4
0-0
9.6%
10.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.24
NO
55% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
AVS
17% · 5.89
Draw
34% · 2.96
Guimaraes
49% · 2.03
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.41
Under 58% · 1.71
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47
Under 32% · 3.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.78
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
AVS
D
D
L
W
L
Guimaraes
L
D
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
AVS
Stat
Guimaraes
0.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.49
#18
League Pos.
#9
10 pts
Points
32 pts
0.4
Points / Game
1.28
-39
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
2 W
AVS
Draw
Guimaraes
8
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
A
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
H
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.