Primeira Liga
February 28, 2026
AVS
0–0
FT
Estrela
We predicted
1-1
25% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 28 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
0–0
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
AVS
Rank#18
Played23
Points8
PPG0.35
Goal Diff-39
L
W
L
L
D
Estrela
12#Rank
23Played
23Points
1.0PPG
-15Goal Diff
L
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.69
1-0
12.8%
7.79
0-1
9.9%
10.08
0-0
9.8%
10.21
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.15
NO
53% · 1.87
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
AVS
43% · 2.31
Draw
28% · 3.6
Estrela
29% · 3.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44
Under 59% · 1.69
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.48
Under 33% · 3.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.87
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
AVS
L
W
L
L
D
Estrela
L
L
W
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
AVS
Stat
Estrela
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.01
#18
League Pos.
#12
8 pts
Points
23 pts
0.35
Points / Game
1.0
-39
Goal Diff.
-15
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
A
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
H
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.