Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 15, 2026
AVS

AVS

30
FT
Estoril

Estoril

We predicted

1-1 28% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
AVS
Rank#18
Played21
Points5
PPG0.24
Goal Diff-39
L L D L L
Estoril
8#Rank
21Played
30Points
1.43PPG
8Goal Diff
D W W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
8.82
1-2
9.2%
10.88
0-1
8.6%
11.57
Estoril 4+
7.8%
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.71
NO 41% · 2.42
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AVS 31% · 3.22
Draw 24% · 4.11
Estoril 45% · 2.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78 Under 44% · 2.28
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27 Under 21% · 4.77
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.97 Under 66% · 1.51

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

AVS AVS
L L D L L
Estoril Estoril
D W W W L

Key Stats Comparison

AVS
Stat
Estoril
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.62
#18
League Pos.
#8
5 pts
Points
30 pts
0.24
Points / Game
1.43
-39
Goal Diff.
+8

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
2 W
AVS
Draw
Estoril
10 total goals
4 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
26 20 5 1 +53 65
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
27 11 9 7 +11 42
7
Estoril Estoril A
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
27 9 5 13 -13 32
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
27 7 7 13 -7 28
14
Estrela Estrela
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela
26 4 8 14 -20 20
18
AVS AVS H
27 1 8 18 -40 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record