Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 28, 2026
Aurrerá Vitoria

Aurrerá Vitoria

13
FT
Zarautz

Zarautz

We predicted

Aurrerá Vitoria 4+ 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Aurrerá Vitoria 4+
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Aurrerá Vitoria
Rank#5
Played27
Points46
PPG1.7
Goal Diff5
L W W W W
Zarautz
17#Rank
27Played
22Points
0.81PPG
-28Goal Diff
L L D L W
Most Likely Scores
Aurrerá Vitoria 4+
15.4%
2-0
12.2%
8.21
1-0
11.7%
8.58
2-1
9.8%
10.24
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.07
NO 52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Aurrerá Vitoria 60% · 1.66
Draw 32% · 3.14
Zarautz 8% · 12.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.82 Under 45% · 2.22
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28 Under 22% · 4.61
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.08 Under 68% · 1.48

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
L W W W W
Zarautz Zarautz
L L D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Aurrerá Vitoria
Stat
Zarautz
2.09
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.8
#5
League Pos.
#17
46 pts
Points
22 pts
1.7
Points / Game
0.81
+5
Goal Diff.
-28

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria H
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz A
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record