Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 February 7, 2026
Aurrerá Vitoria

Aurrerá Vitoria

10
FT
Santurtzi

Santurtzi

We predicted

0-0 58% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 58%
Team Context
Aurrerá Vitoria
Rank#5
Played20
Points32
PPG1.6
Goal Diff0
W W L W L
Santurtzi
12#Rank
20Played
25Points
1.25PPG
-5Goal Diff
L D W D D
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 3% · 30.4
NO 97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Aurrerá Vitoria 15% · 6.61
Draw 70% · 1.43
Santurtzi 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0 Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23 Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0 Under 100% · 1.0

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
W W L W L
Santurtzi Santurtzi
L D W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Aurrerá Vitoria
Stat
Santurtzi
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#5
League Pos.
#12
32 pts
Points
25 pts
1.6
Points / Game
1.25
+0
Goal Diff.
-5

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria H
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi A
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record