Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
March 21, 2026
Aurrerá Vitoria
16:00
VS
Leioa
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Aurrerá Vitoria
Rank#5
Played26
Points46
PPG1.77
Goal Diff6
W
W
W
W
L
Leioa
2#Rank
26Played
49Points
1.88PPG
14Goal Diff
W
D
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.35
1-0
11.9%
8.41
2-1
9.5%
10.55
2-0
9.4%
10.62
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 1.98
NO
50% · 2.02
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Aurrerá Vitoria
34% · 2.9
Draw
33% · 3.02
Leioa
32% · 3.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09
Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.71
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.83
Under 74% · 1.35
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Aurrerá Vitoria
W
W
W
W
L
Leioa
W
D
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Aurrerá Vitoria
Stat
Leioa
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.01
#5
League Pos.
#2
46 pts
Points
49 pts
1.77
Points / Game
1.88
+6
Goal Diff.
+14
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
0 D
3 W
Aurrerá Vitoria
Draw
Leioa
9
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugalete
|
27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | +41 | 67 |
| 2 |
Leioa
A
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | +14 | 49 |
| 3 |
Touring
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Derio
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +14 | 46 |
| 5 |
Aurrerá Vitoria
H
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +6 | 46 |
| 6 |
Lagun Onak
|
26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | +13 | 43 |
| 7 |
San Ignacio
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 42 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Alavés III
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 37 |
| 9 |
Durango
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +1 | 36 |
| 10 |
Real Sociedad III
|
26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 |
Aretxabaleta
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 |
Pasaia KE
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 28 |
| 13 |
Santurtzi
|
26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | -10 | 28 |
| 14 |
Eibar III
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 |
Añorga
|
27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 |
Zamudio
|
27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 |
Zarautz
|
27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 |
Deusto
|
26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -13 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.