Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 April 2, 2026
Atlético Paso

Atlético Paso

11
FT
Mensajero

Mensajero

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Thursday, April 2 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Atlético Paso
Rank#1
Played28
Points59
PPG2.11
Goal Diff31
W W D W D
Mensajero
6#Rank
27Played
47Points
1.74PPG
15Goal Diff
L W D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.7%
7.28
2-0
12.2%
8.23
1-1
10.8%
9.23
Atlético Paso 4+
10.1%
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.21
NO 55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atlético Paso 54% · 1.84
Draw 32% · 3.14
Mensajero 14% · 7.25
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.62
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.95 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Atlético Paso Atlético Paso
W W D W D
Mensajero Mensajero
L W D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Atlético Paso
Stat
Mensajero
1.77
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.79
#1
League Pos.
#6
59 pts
Points
47 pts
2.11
Points / Game
1.74
+31
Goal Diff.
+15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Paso Atlético Paso H
29 17 9 3 +31 60
2
UD San Fernando UD San Fernando
28 17 6 5 +21 57
3
Tamaraceite Tamaraceite
28 16 4 9 +12 51
4
Tenerife C Tenerife C
29 14 7 8 +9 49
5
Mensajero Mensajero A
28 13 9 6 +15 48
6
Panadería Pulido Panadería Pulido
28 14 6 8 +14 48
7
Las Palmas III Las Palmas III
28 12 8 8 +15 44
8
Real Unión de Tenerife Real Unión de Tenerife
28 12 8 8 +7 44
9
Lanzarote Lanzarote
29 12 7 10 +9 43
10
Villa Santa Brígida Villa Santa Brígida
29 13 4 12 +4 43
11
Marino Marino
28 8 12 8 +10 36
12
San Miguel San Miguel
28 7 9 13 -9 29
13
Arucas Arucas
28 6 9 13 -13 27
14
San Bartolomé San Bartolomé
29 6 10 14 -27 27
15
Unión Sur Yaiza Unión Sur Yaiza
28 7 5 16 -15 26
16
Herbania Herbania
28 6 8 14 -13 26
17
Tenisca Tenisca
29 5 6 18 -34 21
18
Telde Telde
28 4 8 16 -36 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record