Serie A Serie A March 22, 2026
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

20
FT
Coritiba

Coritiba

We predicted

Atletico Paranaense 4+ 45% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Atletico Paranaense 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 45%
Most Likely Scores
Atletico Paranaense 4+
22.8%
2-0
15.0%
6.66
3-0
12.4%
8.05
1-0
12.1%
8.26
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.57
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico Paranaense 52% · 1.94
Draw 27% · 3.77
Coritiba 22% · 4.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.73 Under 42% · 2.37
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24 Under 20% · 5.08
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.84 Under 65% · 1.54

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Atletico Paranaense
Stat
Coritiba
2.48
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.55

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense H
8 5 1 2 +6 16
3
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
8 5 1 2 +5 16
4
Fluminense Fluminense
8 5 1 2 +4 16
5
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
6
Bahia Bahia
7 4 2 1 +2 14
7
Coritiba Coritiba A
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria
7 3 1 3 -2 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Internacional Internacional
8 2 2 4 -2 8
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
8 2 2 4 -3 8
14
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
15
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
7 1 4 2 -2 7
16
Santos Santos
8 1 4 3 -3 7
17
Botafogo Botafogo
7 2 0 5 -5 6
18
Mirassol Mirassol
7 1 3 3 -2 6
19
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6
20
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record