Serie A
October 7, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
20:00
VS
Atletico-MG
Predicted score
1-0
45% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, October 7 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Atletico Paranaense
Rank#6
Played4
Points7
PPG1.75
Goal Diff1
D
L
W
W
Atletico-MG
17#Rank
4Played
2Points
0.5PPG
-2Goal Diff
L
D
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
20.5%
4.87
2-0
16.3%
6.13
0-0
12.9%
7.73
1-1
9.4%
10.62
Both Teams To Score
YES
29% · 3.42
NO
71% · 1.41
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico Paranaense
57% · 1.75
Draw
33% · 3.07
Atletico-MG
10% · 9.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 2.99
Under 67% · 1.5
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65
Under 39% · 2.54
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.66
Under 85% · 1.18
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atletico Paranaense
D
L
W
W
Atletico-MG
L
D
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Atletico Paranaense
Stat
Atletico-MG
1.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.46
#6
League Pos.
#17
7 pts
Points
2 pts
1.75
Points / Game
0.5
+1
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Atletico Paranaense
Draw
Atletico-MG
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
H
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
A
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.