Serie A
March 18, 2026
Atletico-MG
1–0
FT
Sao Paulo
We predicted
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, March 18 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Atletico-MG
Rank#11
Played38
Points48
PPG1.26
Goal Diff-1
W
L
L
D
L
Sao Paulo
8#Rank
38Played
51Points
1.34PPG
-4Goal Diff
L
W
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.7%
6.37
2-0
13.5%
7.42
1-1
10.6%
9.4
Atletico-MG 4+
9.3%
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.48
NO
60% · 1.68
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico-MG
41% · 2.42
Draw
32% · 3.13
Sao Paulo
27% · 3.76
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.34
Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45
Under 31% · 3.22
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.58
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atletico-MG
W
L
L
D
L
Sao Paulo
L
W
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Atletico-MG
Stat
Sao Paulo
1.72
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.68
#11
League Pos.
#8
48 pts
Points
51 pts
1.26
Points / Game
1.34
-1
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Atletico-MG
Draw
Sao Paulo
7
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |
Sao Paulo
A
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Flamengo
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Gremio
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 |
Corinthians
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atletico-MG
H
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |
RB Bragantino
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
remo
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.