Serie A
August 16, 2026
Atletico-MG
20:00
VS
Gremio
Predicted score
Atletico-MG 4+
42% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, August 16 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
Atletico-MG
Rank#17
Played4
Points2
PPG0.5
Goal Diff-2
L
D
L
D
Gremio
8#Rank
4Played
6Points
1.5PPG
0Goal Diff
W
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Atletico-MG 4+
18.3%
2-1
9.3%
10.74
1-1
8.2%
12.27
3-1
7.1%
14.1
Both Teams To Score
YES
67% · 1.49
NO
33% · 3.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Atletico-MG
38% · 2.6
Draw
30% · 3.34
Gremio
32% · 3.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42
Under 29% · 3.4
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.14
Under 12% · 8.31
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.02
Under 51% · 1.98
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atletico-MG
L
D
L
D
Gremio
W
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Atletico-MG
Stat
Gremio
2.28
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.38
#17
League Pos.
#8
2 pts
Points
6 pts
0.5
Points / Game
1.5
-2
Goal Diff.
+0
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
Atletico-MG
Draw
Gremio
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sao Paulo
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Flamengo
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Gremio
A
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Vitoria
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Corinthians
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 |
Internacional
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Atletico-MG
H
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |
RB Bragantino
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |
Santos
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |
Botafogo
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Mirassol
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 |
remo
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 |
Cruzeiro
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.