Serie A
September 20, 2026
Atletico-MG
20:00
VS
Chapecoense-sc
Predicted score
Atletico-MG 4+
39% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, September 20 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Atletico-MG
Rank#17
Played4
Points2
PPG0.5
Goal Diff-2
L
D
L
D
Chapecoense-sc
9#Rank
3Played
5Points
1.67PPG
2Goal Diff
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
Atletico-MG 4+
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
10.92
1-1
8.8%
11.33
2-2
6.8%
14.75
Both Teams To Score
YES
67% · 1.48
NO
33% · 3.08
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Atletico-MG
35% · 2.88
Draw
31% · 3.25
Chapecoense-sc
35% · 2.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46
Under 31% · 3.2
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15
Under 13% · 7.63
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.12
Under 53% · 1.89
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atletico-MG
L
D
L
D
Chapecoense-sc
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Atletico-MG
Stat
Chapecoense-sc
2.07
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.48
#17
League Pos.
#9
2 pts
Points
5 pts
0.5
Points / Game
1.67
-2
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Atletico-MG
Draw
Chapecoense-sc
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |
Sao Paulo
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Flamengo
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Gremio
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 |
Corinthians
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atletico-MG
H
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |
RB Bragantino
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |
Chapecoense-sc
A
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
remo
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.