Serie A
July 22, 2026
Atletico-MG
20:00
VS
Bahia
Predicted score
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, July 22 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Atletico-MG
Rank#17
Played4
Points2
PPG0.5
Goal Diff-2
L
D
L
D
Bahia
4#Rank
3Played
7Points
2.33PPG
2Goal Diff
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
7.97
1-0
11.9%
8.38
2-1
9.0%
11.06
0-1
8.7%
11.51
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.01
NO
50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico-MG
32% · 3.16
Draw
34% · 2.95
Bahia
35% · 2.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.2
Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.46
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.16
Under 76% · 1.32
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atletico-MG
L
D
L
D
Bahia
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Atletico-MG
Stat
Bahia
1.44
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#17
League Pos.
#4
2 pts
Points
7 pts
0.5
Points / Game
2.33
-2
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Atletico-MG
Draw
Bahia
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 |
Flamengo
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |
Bahia
A
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Gremio
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Vitoria
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Corinthians
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 |
Internacional
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Atletico-MG
H
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |
RB Bragantino
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |
Santos
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |
Botafogo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 |
Mirassol
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 |
remo
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 |
Cruzeiro
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.