Serie A Serie A April 5, 2026
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

21
FT
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Atletico-MG
Rank#11
Played38
Points48
PPG1.26
Goal Diff-1
W L L D L
Atletico Paranaense
#Rank
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.3%
5.76
2-0
13.8%
7.24
0-0
10.9%
9.18
1-1
10.9%
9.22
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.7
NO 63% · 1.59
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico-MG 50% · 1.98
Draw 29% · 3.47
Atletico Paranaense 21% · 4.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.62 Under 62% · 1.62
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.54 Under 35% · 2.85
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.46 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W L L D L
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
No form data available

Key Stats Comparison

Atletico-MG
Stat
Atletico Paranaense
1.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.63
#11
League Pos.
48 pts
Points
– pts
1.26
Points / Game
-1
Goal Diff.
+

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
9 7 1 1 +10 22
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
10 6 2 2 +8 20
3
Fluminense Fluminense
10 6 2 2 +6 20
4
Flamengo Flamengo
9 5 2 2 +7 17
5
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
6
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense A
10 5 1 4 +2 16
7
Coritiba Coritiba
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG H
10 4 2 4 +2 14
9
Botafogo Botafogo
9 4 0 5 -3 12
10
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Gremio Gremio
9 3 2 4 +0 11
12
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
9 3 2 4 -1 11
13
Vitoria Vitoria
9 3 2 4 -5 11
14
Corinthians Corinthians
9 2 4 3 -2 10
15
Santos Santos
10 2 4 4 -3 10
16
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
17
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
9 1 5 3 -6 8
18
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
10 1 4 5 -8 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
Remo Remo
9 1 3 5 -7 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record