Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
March 21, 2026
Atlético Mansillés
16:00
VS
UD Santa Marta
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Atlético Mansillés
Rank#7
Played25
Points39
PPG1.56
Goal Diff-2
D
D
D
L
W
UD Santa Marta
4#Rank
26Played
49Points
1.88PPG
18Goal Diff
L
W
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.9%
7.17
1-1
13.5%
7.4
0-0
13.3%
7.54
0-1
12.9%
7.78
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.48
NO
60% · 1.68
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atlético Mansillés
26% · 3.83
Draw
36% · 2.75
UD Santa Marta
38% · 2.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.04
Under 67% · 1.49
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67
Under 40% · 2.5
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.84
Under 85% · 1.17
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atlético Mansillés
D
D
D
L
W
UD Santa Marta
L
W
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Atlético Mansillés
Stat
UD Santa Marta
1.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#7
League Pos.
#4
39 pts
Points
49 pts
1.56
Points / Game
1.88
-2
Goal Diff.
+18
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
1 W
Atlético Mansillés
Draw
UD Santa Marta
4
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlético Tordesillas
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palencia CF
|
26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | +20 | 55 |
| 3 |
Guijuelo
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +13 | 51 |
| 4 |
UD Santa Marta
A
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | +18 | 49 |
| 5 |
Cristo Atlético
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 49 |
| 6 |
Mirandés II
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +10 | 39 |
| 7 |
Atlético Mansillés
H
|
25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 |
Almazán
|
25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | +10 | 38 |
| 9 |
La Virgen del Camino
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 37 |
| 10 |
Cultural Leonesa II
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 |
Villaralbo
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 28 |
| 12 |
Bembibre
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 |
Colegios Diocesanos
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 |
Arandina
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 |
Mojados
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 |
Becerril Campos
|
26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 |
Numancia II
|
25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 |
Unionistas II
|
26 | 1 | 13 | 12 | -17 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.