Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 April 4, 2026
Atlético Mansillés

Atlético Mansillés

11
FT
Arandina

Arandina

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Atlético Mansillés
Rank#6
Played27
Points43
PPG1.59
Goal Diff0
D W D D D
Arandina
14#Rank
28Played
28Points
1.0PPG
-15Goal Diff
L W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.7%
5.98
0-0
12.5%
7.97
1-1
12.4%
8.04
2-0
11.1%
8.98
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.59
NO 61% · 1.63
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atlético Mansillés 44% · 2.25
Draw 31% · 3.22
Arandina 25% · 4.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.91 Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63 Under 39% · 2.59
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.39 Under 84% · 1.19

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Atlético Mansillés Atlético Mansillés
D W D D D
Arandina Arandina
L W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Atlético Mansillés
Stat
Arandina
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.74
#6
League Pos.
#14
43 pts
Points
28 pts
1.59
Points / Game
1.0
+0
Goal Diff.
-15

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
0 W
Atlético Mansillés
Draw
Arandina
2 total goals
1 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Tordesillas
29 21 6 2 +37 69
2
Guijuelo Guijuelo
29 18 6 5 +19 60
3
Cristo Atlético Cristo Atlético
29 17 5 7 +21 56
4
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
29 17 4 8 +21 55
5
Palencia CF Palencia CF
28 17 4 7 +18 55
6
Atlético Mansillés Atlético Mansillés H
28 11 11 6 +0 44
7
Almazán Almazán
28 10 11 7 +8 41
8
La Virgen del Camino La Virgen del Camino
28 11 8 9 -2 41
9
Mirandés II Mirandés II
29 11 7 11 +8 40
10
Colegios Diocesanos Colegios Diocesanos
28 9 6 13 -13 33
11
Villaralbo Villaralbo
29 8 8 13 -9 32
12
Cultural Leonesa II Cultural Leonesa II
28 9 5 14 -10 32
13
Arandina Arandina A
29 7 8 14 -15 29
14
Bembibre Bembibre
28 7 7 14 -12 28
15
Mojados Mojados
29 5 9 15 -24 24
16
Numancia II Numancia II
28 6 5 17 -18 23
17
Unionistas II Unionistas II
29 3 13 13 -12 22
18
Becerril Campos Becerril Campos
29 5 7 17 -17 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record