La Liga La Liga April 25, 2026
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

16:00
VS
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Predicted score

Atletico Madrid 4+ 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 25 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Atletico Madrid
Rank#3
Played27
Points54
PPG2.0
Goal Diff21
W W W L L
Athletic Club
10#Rank
27Played
35Points
1.3PPG
-7Goal Diff
L D W W W
Most Likely Scores
Atletico Madrid 4+
16.0%
2-0
13.8%
7.23
1-0
13.0%
7.67
3-0
9.8%
10.2
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.32
NO 57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico Madrid 60% · 1.65
Draw 29% · 3.43
Athletic Club 10% · 9.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.9 Under 47% · 2.11
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.29
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.3 Under 70% · 1.44

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
W W W L L
Athletic Club Athletic Club
L D W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Atletico Madrid
Stat
Athletic Club
2.12
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.67
#3
League Pos.
#10
54 pts
Points
35 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.3
+21
Goal Diff.
-7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
29 24 1 4 +50 73
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
29 22 3 4 +37 69
3
Villarreal Villarreal
29 18 4 7 +20 58
4
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid H
29 17 6 6 +21 57
5
Real Betis Real Betis
29 11 11 7 +7 44
6
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
29 10 11 8 +6 41
7
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
29 10 8 11 -1 38
8
Getafe Getafe
29 11 5 13 -6 38
9
Athletic Club Athletic Club A
29 11 5 13 -9 38
10
Osasuna Osasuna
29 10 7 12 -1 37
11
Espanyol Espanyol
29 10 7 12 -8 37
12
Valencia Valencia
29 9 8 12 -10 35
13
Girona Girona
29 8 10 11 -13 34
14
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
29 7 11 11 -7 32
15
Sevilla Sevilla
29 8 7 14 -12 31
16
Alaves Alaves
29 8 7 14 -11 31
17
Elche Elche
29 6 11 12 -8 29
18
Mallorca Mallorca
29 7 7 15 -13 28
19
Levante Levante
29 6 8 15 -14 26
20
Oviedo Oviedo
29 4 9 16 -28 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record