Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 April 4, 2026
Atlético Astorga

Atlético Astorga

34
FT
Lealtad

Lealtad

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Atlético Astorga
Rank#9
Played29
Points40
PPG1.38
Goal Diff-1
L D W W W
Lealtad
17#Rank
29Played
24Points
0.83PPG
-20Goal Diff
L L L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.8%
7.27
1-1
12.2%
8.2
2-0
10.4%
9.64
2-1
9.2%
10.86
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.18
NO 54% · 1.85
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atlético Astorga 51% · 1.96
Draw 36% · 2.81
Lealtad 13% · 7.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.33 Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.23
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.55 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Atlético Astorga Atlético Astorga
L D W W W
Lealtad Lealtad
L L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Atlético Astorga
Stat
Lealtad
1.51
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#9
League Pos.
#17
40 pts
Points
24 pts
1.38
Points / Game
0.83
-1
Goal Diff.
-20

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Deportivo La Coruña II Deportivo La Coruña II
29 17 9 3 +31 60
2
Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II
30 15 9 6 +16 54
3
Gimnástica Segoviana Gimnástica Segoviana
29 13 9 7 +5 48
4
Real Ávila Real Ávila
29 13 8 8 +4 47
5
Coruxo Coruxo
29 13 6 10 +7 45
6
UD Ourense UD Ourense
29 12 9 8 +4 45
7
Salamanca UDS Salamanca UDS
29 12 8 9 +8 44
8
Numancia Numancia
30 11 10 9 +6 43
9
Atlético Astorga Atlético Astorga H
30 11 7 12 -2 40
10
Bergantiños Bergantiños
29 10 9 10 +3 39
11
Sarriana Sarriana
30 10 7 13 +2 37
12
Langreo Langreo
29 9 9 11 -6 36
13
Racing Santander II Racing Santander II
29 7 15 7 +9 36
14
Marino de Luanco Marino de Luanco
29 8 11 10 +1 35
15
Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II
29 8 9 12 -5 33
16
Burgos Promesas Burgos Promesas
29 6 11 12 -14 29
17
Lealtad Lealtad A
30 7 6 17 -19 27
18
Sámano Sámano
30 3 6 21 -50 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record