UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League January 28, 2026
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

23
FT
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

We predicted

0-1 27% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, January 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 2–3

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.6%
7.37
0-2
11.9%
8.39
1-1
10.9%
9.15
Sporting CP 4+
9.9%
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.18
NO 54% · 1.84
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Athletic Club 17% · 5.92
Draw 23% · 4.31
Sporting CP 60% · 1.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.12 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38 Under 27% · 3.64
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.93 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Athletic Club
Stat
Sporting CP
0.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.76

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
2 W
Athletic Club
Draw
Sporting CP
8 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
8 8 0 0 +19 24
2
Bayern München Bayern München
8 7 0 1 +14 21
3
Liverpool Liverpool
8 6 0 2 +12 18
4
Tottenham Tottenham
8 5 2 1 +10 17
5
Barcelona Barcelona
8 5 1 2 +8 16
6
Chelsea Chelsea
8 5 1 2 +7 16
7
Sporting CP Sporting CP A
8 5 1 2 +6 16
8
Manchester City Manchester City
8 5 1 2 +6 16
9
Real Madrid Real Madrid
8 5 0 3 +9 15
10
Inter Inter
8 5 0 3 +8 15
11
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
8 4 2 2 +10 14
12
Newcastle Newcastle
8 4 2 2 +10 14
13
Juventus Juventus
8 3 4 1 +4 13
14
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
8 4 1 3 +2 13
15
Atalanta Atalanta
8 4 1 3 +0 13
16
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
8 3 3 2 -1 12
17
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
8 3 2 3 +2 11
18
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
8 3 2 3 -4 11
19
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
8 3 1 4 -2 10
20
Galatasaray Galatasaray
8 3 1 4 -2 10
21
Monaco Monaco
8 2 4 2 -6 10
22
Qarabag Qarabag
8 3 1 4 -8 10
23
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
8 2 3 3 -1 9
24
Benfica Benfica
8 3 0 5 -2 9
25
Marseille Marseille
8 3 0 5 -3 9
26
Pafos Pafos
8 2 3 3 -3 9
27
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
8 3 0 5 -9 9
28
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 2 2 4 +0 8
29
Athletic Club Athletic Club H
8 2 2 4 -5 8
30
Napoli Napoli
8 2 2 4 -6 8
31
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 2 2 4 -9 8
32
Ajax Ajax
8 2 0 6 -13 6
33
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
8 1 1 6 -11 4
34
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
8 0 3 5 -14 3
35
Villarreal Villarreal
8 0 1 7 -13 1
36
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
8 0 1 7 -15 1

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record