Serie A
May 3, 2026
Atalanta
13:00
VS
Genoa
Predicted score
Atalanta 4+
42% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
Atalanta
Rank#7
Played28
Points46
PPG1.64
Goal Diff13
D
L
W
W
W
Genoa
13#Rank
28Played
30Points
1.07PPG
-6Goal Diff
W
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Atalanta 4+
17.0%
2-0
10.4%
9.58
2-1
9.9%
10.06
1-0
9.5%
10.48
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.84
NO
46% · 2.2
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Atalanta
57% · 1.75
Draw
30% · 3.37
Genoa
13% · 7.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.65
Under 40% · 2.53
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22
Under 18% · 5.54
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64
Under 62% · 1.61
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atalanta
D
L
W
W
W
Genoa
W
L
W
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Atalanta
Stat
Genoa
2.19
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#7
League Pos.
#13
46 pts
Points
30 pts
1.64
Points / Game
1.07
+13
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
Atalanta
Draw
Genoa
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +42 | 69 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +24 | 63 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 62 |
| 4 |
Como
|
30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +31 | 57 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +23 | 54 |
| 6 |
AS Roma
|
30 | 17 | 3 | 10 | +17 | 54 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
H
|
30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | +2 | 42 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 |
Genoa
A
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 33 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 |
Fiorentina
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 |
Cremonese
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 27 |
| 19 |
Hellas Verona
|
30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -30 | 18 |
| 20 |
Pisa
|
30 | 2 | 12 | 16 | -31 | 18 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.