Premier League Premier League May 17, 2026
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

14:00
VS
Liverpool

Liverpool

Predicted score

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, May 17 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Aston Villa
Rank#4
Played29
Points51
PPG1.76
Goal Diff5
L L D W D
Liverpool
6#Rank
29Played
48Points
1.66PPG
9Goal Diff
L W W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.92
0-1
9.9%
10.08
1-0
9.7%
10.3
1-2
8.2%
12.17
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.91
NO 48% · 2.1
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Aston Villa 26% · 3.9
Draw 34% · 2.95
Liverpool 40% · 2.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.11 Under 53% · 1.9
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.67
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.88 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Aston Villa Aston Villa
L L D W D
Liverpool Liverpool
L W W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Aston Villa
Stat
Liverpool
1.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.3
#4
League Pos.
#6
51 pts
Points
48 pts
1.76
Points / Game
1.66
+5
Goal Diff.
+9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa H
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool A
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record