UEFA Europa League
April 16, 2026
Aston Villa
19:00
VS
Bologna
Predicted score
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, April 16 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Aston Villa
Rank#2
Played8
Points21
PPG2.63
Goal Diff8
W
W
W
W
W
Bologna
10#Rank
8Played
15Points
1.88PPG
7Goal Diff
W
D
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.2%
7.6
1-1
13.0%
7.67
0-0
10.1%
9.9
0-1
10.0%
9.99
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.18
NO
54% · 1.84
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Aston Villa
44% · 2.26
Draw
35% · 2.87
Bologna
21% · 4.76
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.49
Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5
Under 33% · 3.01
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.03
Under 80% · 1.25
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Aston Villa
W
W
W
W
W
Bologna
W
D
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Aston Villa
Stat
Bologna
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#2
League Pos.
#10
21 pts
Points
15 pts
2.63
Points / Game
1.88
+8
Goal Diff.
+7
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
0 W
Aston Villa
Draw
Bologna
3
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.