Serie A Serie A May 17, 2026
AS Roma

AS Roma

13:00
VS
Lazio

Lazio

Predicted score

1-0 43% confidence
View full match details Sunday, May 17 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
AS Roma
Rank#5
Played28
Points51
PPG1.82
Goal Diff17
L D W D W
Lazio
10#Rank
28Played
37Points
1.32PPG
0Goal Diff
W L D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
19.5%
5.14
0-0
13.8%
7.25
2-0
13.7%
7.29
1-1
11.1%
9.0
Both Teams To Score
YES 33% · 3.04
NO 67% · 1.49
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
AS Roma 53% · 1.9
Draw 34% · 2.91
Lazio 13% · 7.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.15 Under 68% · 1.47
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.7 Under 41% · 2.43
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 7.2 Under 86% · 1.16

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

AS Roma AS Roma
L D W D W
Lazio Lazio
W L D L D

Key Stats Comparison

AS Roma
Stat
Lazio
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.57
#5
League Pos.
#10
51 pts
Points
37 pts
1.82
Points / Game
1.32
+17
Goal Diff.
+0

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
AS Roma
Draw
Lazio
7 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Inter Inter
30 22 3 5 +42 69
2
AC Milan AC Milan
30 18 9 3 +24 63
3
Napoli Napoli
30 19 5 6 +16 62
4
Como Como
30 16 9 5 +31 57
5
Juventus Juventus
30 15 9 6 +23 54
6
AS Roma AS Roma H
30 17 3 10 +17 54
7
Atalanta Atalanta
30 13 11 6 +14 50
8
Lazio Lazio A
30 11 10 9 +3 43
9
Bologna Bologna
30 12 6 12 +2 42
10
Sassuolo Sassuolo
30 11 6 13 -4 39
11
Udinese Udinese
30 11 6 13 -7 39
12
Parma Parma
30 8 10 12 -17 34
13
Genoa Genoa
30 8 9 13 -6 33
14
Torino Torino
30 9 6 15 -19 33
15
Cagliari Cagliari
30 7 9 14 -11 30
16
Fiorentina Fiorentina
30 6 11 13 -9 29
17
Cremonese Cremonese
30 6 9 15 -19 27
18
Lecce Lecce
30 7 6 17 -19 27
19
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
30 3 9 18 -30 18
20
Pisa Pisa
30 2 12 16 -31 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record