Serie A
May 3, 2026
AS Roma
13:00
VS
Fiorentina
Predicted score
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
AS Roma
Rank#5
Played28
Points51
PPG1.82
Goal Diff17
L
D
W
D
W
Fiorentina
17#Rank
28Played
25Points
0.89PPG
-12Goal Diff
D
L
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.0%
7.14
2-0
13.3%
7.54
AS Roma 4+
12.1%
1-1
10.0%
10.01
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.31
NO
57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
AS Roma
57% · 1.75
Draw
31% · 3.25
Fiorentina
12% · 8.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.07
Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36
Under 27% · 3.75
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.8
Under 74% · 1.36
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
AS Roma
L
D
W
D
W
Fiorentina
D
L
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
AS Roma
Stat
Fiorentina
1.9
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.71
#5
League Pos.
#17
51 pts
Points
25 pts
1.82
Points / Game
0.89
+17
Goal Diff.
-12
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
AS Roma
Draw
Fiorentina
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +42 | 69 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +24 | 63 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 62 |
| 4 |
Como
|
30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +31 | 57 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +23 | 54 |
| 6 |
AS Roma
H
|
30 | 17 | 3 | 10 | +17 | 54 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | +2 | 42 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 33 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 |
Fiorentina
A
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 |
Cremonese
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 27 |
| 19 |
Hellas Verona
|
30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -30 | 18 |
| 20 |
Pisa
|
30 | 2 | 12 | 16 | -31 | 18 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.