Premier League
April 25, 2026
Arsenal
16:30
VS
Newcastle
Predicted score
1-0
42% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 25 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
Arsenal
Rank#1
Played30
Points67
PPG2.23
Goal Diff37
W
W
W
D
D
Newcastle
12#Rank
29Played
39Points
1.34PPG
-1Goal Diff
W
L
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.1%
6.2
2-0
14.3%
7.0
Arsenal 4+
10.2%
1-1
10.1%
9.88
Both Teams To Score
YES
39% · 2.59
NO
61% · 1.63
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arsenal
57% · 1.76
Draw
31% · 3.18
Newcastle
12% · 8.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.33
Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45
Under 31% · 3.23
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.57
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
W
D
D
Newcastle
W
L
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Arsenal
Stat
Newcastle
1.77
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.63
#1
League Pos.
#12
67 pts
Points
39 pts
2.23
Points / Game
1.34
+37
Goal Diff.
-1
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
Arsenal
Draw
Newcastle
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
H
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
A
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.