Premier League Premier League March 14, 2026
Arsenal

Arsenal

20
FT
Everton

Everton

We predicted

1-0 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Arsenal
Rank#1
Played30
Points67
PPG2.23
Goal Diff37
W W W D D
Everton
8#Rank
29Played
43Points
1.48PPG
1Goal Diff
W W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.2%
5.51
2-0
15.1%
6.64
0-0
10.9%
9.15
1-1
10.1%
9.92
Both Teams To Score
YES 34% · 2.9
NO 66% · 1.53
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arsenal 57% · 1.77
Draw 32% · 3.11
Everton 11% · 8.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.63 Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.54 Under 35% · 2.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.49 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arsenal Arsenal
W W W D D
Everton Everton
W W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Arsenal
Stat
Everton
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.56
#1
League Pos.
#8
67 pts
Points
43 pts
2.23
Points / Game
1.48
+37
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal H
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
29 14 9 6 +11 51
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
29 15 6 8 +5 51
5
Chelsea Chelsea
30 13 9 8 +18 48
6
Liverpool Liverpool
29 14 6 9 +9 48
7
Brentford Brentford
29 13 5 11 +4 44
8
Everton Everton A
30 12 7 11 -1 43
9
Newcastle Newcastle
30 12 6 12 +0 42
10
Bournemouth Bournemouth
30 9 14 7 -2 41
11
Brighton Brighton
30 10 10 10 +3 40
12
Fulham Fulham
29 12 4 13 -3 40
13
Sunderland Sunderland
30 10 10 10 -5 40
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
29 10 8 11 -2 38
15
Leeds Leeds
29 7 10 12 -11 31
16
Tottenham Tottenham
29 7 8 14 -7 29
17
West Ham West Ham
30 7 8 15 -19 29
18
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
29 7 7 15 -15 28
19
Burnley Burnley
30 4 8 18 -26 20
20
Wolves Wolves
30 3 7 20 -30 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record