Premier League Premier League March 1, 2026
Arsenal

Arsenal

21
FT
Chelsea

Chelsea

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Arsenal
Rank#1
Played28
Points61
PPG2.18
Goal Diff35
W D D W W
Chelsea
5#Rank
27Played
45Points
1.67PPG
17Goal Diff
D D W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.8%
9.28
1-2
9.0%
11.12
Chelsea 4+
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
12.94
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.62
NO 38% · 2.61
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Arsenal 33% · 3.02
Draw 24% · 4.21
Chelsea 43% · 2.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.49
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.23 Under 18% · 5.41
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67 Under 63% · 1.6

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arsenal Arsenal
W D D W W
Chelsea Chelsea
D D W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Arsenal
Stat
Chelsea
1.43
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.67
#1
League Pos.
#5
61 pts
Points
45 pts
2.18
Points / Game
1.67
+35
Goal Diff.
+17

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
1 D
0 W
Arsenal
Draw
Chelsea
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal H
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea A
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record