Premier League
May 17, 2026
Arsenal
14:00
VS
Burnley
Predicted score
Arsenal 4+
53% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
53%
Team Context
Arsenal
Rank#1
Played30
Points67
PPG2.23
Goal Diff37
W
W
W
D
D
Burnley
19#Rank
29Played
19Points
0.66PPG
-26Goal Diff
L
L
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Arsenal 4+
26.1%
2-0
17.5%
5.72
3-0
15.5%
6.47
1-0
13.2%
7.58
Both Teams To Score
YES
29% · 3.5
NO
71% · 1.4
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arsenal
71% · 1.4
Draw
27% · 3.75
Burnley
2% · 49.02
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.74
Under 43% · 2.34
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25
Under 20% · 5.0
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.9
Under 65% · 1.53
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
W
D
D
Burnley
L
L
D
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Arsenal
Stat
Burnley
2.65
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.37
#1
League Pos.
#19
67 pts
Points
19 pts
2.23
Points / Game
0.66
+37
Goal Diff.
-26
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
1 D
0 W
Arsenal
Draw
Burnley
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
H
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
A
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.