UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League March 17, 2026
Arsenal

Arsenal

20
FT
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

We predicted

Arsenal 4+ 59% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 17 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Arsenal 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 59%
Team Context
Arsenal
Rank#1
Played8
Points24
PPG3.0
Goal Diff19
W W W W W
Bayer Leverkusen
16#Rank
8Played
12Points
1.5PPG
-1Goal Diff
W L D W W
Most Likely Scores
Arsenal 4+
31.7%
2-0
13.9%
7.19
3-0
13.6%
7.36
1-0
9.5%
10.56
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.57
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arsenal 69% · 1.45
Draw 24% · 4.11
Bayer Leverkusen 7% · 15.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51 Under 34% · 2.96
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.17 Under 14% · 6.94
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.28 Under 56% · 1.78

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arsenal Arsenal
W W W W W
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
W L D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Arsenal
Stat
Bayer Leverkusen
2.93
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.53
#1
League Pos.
#16
24 pts
Points
12 pts
3.0
Points / Game
1.5
+19
Goal Diff.
-1

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record