First League
April 5, 2026
Arsenal Tula
13:00
VS
Fakel
Predicted score
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Arsenal Tula
Rank#9
Played26
Points35
PPG1.35
Goal Diff5
W
W
L
L
D
Fakel
1#Rank
26Played
56Points
2.15PPG
20Goal Diff
W
D
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.55
0-1
11.6%
8.6
1-0
11.4%
8.81
0-0
10.0%
10.04
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.14
NO
53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arsenal Tula
25% · 3.99
Draw
35% · 2.86
Fakel
40% · 2.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.47
Under 59% · 1.68
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49
Under 33% · 3.04
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.96
Under 80% · 1.25
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Arsenal Tula
W
W
L
L
D
Fakel
W
D
L
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Arsenal Tula
Stat
Fakel
1.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.17
#9
League Pos.
#1
35 pts
Points
56 pts
1.35
Points / Game
2.15
+5
Goal Diff.
+20
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Arsenal Tula
Draw
Fakel
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Fakel
A
|
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | +20 | 56 |
| 2 |
Rodina Moskva
|
26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | +20 | 49 |
| 3 |
Ural
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +9 | 45 |
| 4 |
Spartak Kostroma
|
27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | +6 | 41 |
| 5 |
Rotor Volgograd
|
26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 39 |
| 6 |
KAMAZ
|
27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +13 | 39 |
| 7 |
Chelyabinsk
|
27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +6 | 38 |
| 8 |
FK Neftekhimik
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | +1 | 35 |
| 9 |
Arsenal Tula
H
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | +5 | 35 |
| 10 |
Ska-khabarovsk
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -6 | 34 |
| 11 |
Enisey
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 |
Torpedo Moskva
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | -1 | 33 |
| 14 |
Volga Ulyanovsk
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 15 |
Chernomorets
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 29 |
| 16 |
FC UFA
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 26 |
| 17 |
Chayka
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -29 | 19 |
| 18 |
FK Sokol Saratov
|
26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -21 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.